Title: Farsighted Pdf How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
Author: Steven Johnson
Published Date: 2018
Page: 256
Praise for Farsighted: “Riveting... As a deep thinker and gifted storyteller, Johnson is the right author to tackle the topic. He’s at his best when analyzing impossibly complex decisions... One of Johnson’s thought-provoking points is that [people who excel at long-term thinking] read novels, which are ideal exercises in mental time travel and empathy. I think he’s right.”—The New York Times Book Review “Johnson is explicitly focused on real-life decisions that (ideally) involve serious deliberation... [He]reminds us that, fundamentally, choices concern competing narratives, and we’re likely to make better choices if we have richer stories, with more fleshed-out characters, a more nuanced understanding of motives, and a deeper appreciation of how decisions are likely to reverberate and resound.” —The Wall Street Journal “Johnson is well-placed to dig into these dilemmas of decision-making, as he gracefully serves up examples ranging from 17th-century urban planning to contemporary artificial intelligence.” —Financial Times “[An] excellent book... altogether insightful.” —Brain Pickings “An anecdote-packed, insight-laden exploration of what works, and what doesn’t, when it comes to our most complex decisions, Johnson’s latest book makes a convincing case for adding more storytelling to the C-suite and beyond.” —San Francisco Chronicle “Johnson is a succinct, colorful, and skillful writer, and this book is one of those rare works that is highly relevant to the daily functioning of just about everybody.” —Publishers Weekly Praise for Steven Johnson: “Mr. Johnson’s erudition can be quite gobsmacking.” —The Wall Street Journal “A great science writer.” —Bill Clinton, speaking at the 2013 Clinton Foundation Health Matters conference “A first-rate storyteller.” —The New York Times “A maven of the history of ideas.” —The Guardian “Steven Johnson’s mind works in wondrous ways.” —Seattle Post-Intelligencer “[An] excellent book… altogether insightful.” Steven Johnson is the bestselling author of eleven books, including Where Good Ideas Come From, Wonderland, and The Ghost Map. He's the host and co-creator of the Emmy-winning PBS/BBC series How We Got To Now, and the host of the podcast American Innovations. He lives in Brooklyn and Marin County, California with his wife and three sons.
Big, life-altering decisions matter so much more than the decisions we make every day, and they're also the most difficult: where to live, whom to marry, what to believe, whether to start a company, how to end a war. There's no one-size-fits-all approach for addressing these kinds of conundrums.
Steven Johnson's classic Where Good Ideas Come From inspired creative people all over the world with new ways of thinking about innovation. In Farsighted, he uncovers powerful tools for honing the important skill of complex decision-making. While you can't model a once-in-a-lifetime choice, you can model the deliberative tactics of expert decision-makers. These experts aren't just the master strategists running major companies or negotiating high-level diplomacy. They're the novelists who draw out the complexity of their characters' inner lives, the city officials who secure long-term water supplies, and the scientists who reckon with future challenges most of us haven't even imagined. The smartest decision-makers don't go with their guts. Their success relies on having a future-oriented approach and the ability to consider all their options in a creative, productive way.
Through compelling stories that reveal surprising insights, Johnson explains how we can most effectively approach the choices that can chart the course of a life, an organization, or a civilization. Farsighted will help you imagine your possible futures and appreciate the subtle intelligence of the choices that shaped our broader social history.
Nothing new This book was recommended by The Economist as offering new insights. The book is a pleasant and entertaining read by anecdotes, but fails to offer new or even deeper insights for sound farsighted decision makng. Of course, I am writing this living in the Netherlands which has quite a good track record of sound farsighted policy decision making in the public sphere and is home to e.g. Shell, known for its scenario planning and Philips Electronics known for technological forecasting. The book does not offer anything new, it is a rumination of aspects and dimensions all well known in decision theory. The role of futurological thinking is touched upon, but lacks elaboration. The book touches upon the role of ideology in farsightedness, that is what society do we want ultimately, and what is underlying the success of CEOs successful in long term sustainable value creation, but it is not elaborated. As the philosopher Popper wrote, decisions pertain to facts, but are decided by values, could have been emphasized stronger. Missing in the book are the tools for making decisions in complex situations, abstract thinking, reconceptualizing based on a high conceptual complexity and thus defining new models, although the book touches on the latter. The book deals with making complex decisions, which is something different from making decisions in complex situations, but fails to mention Herbert Simon’s insight that what are perceived to be complex problems in the first place results from lack of sufficient broad knowledge.Covers old ground in a vastly better, more colorful, personalized way. Surprisingly good. Covers the same ground as many other decisions books, but in a deeper fashion, with more meaty examples. As you read, you come across advice that you say to yourself “I have to remember that”. And that, and that. Very instructive. It’s filled with examples of situations where thinking about the consequences of decisions would have made for vastly better outcomes. Insightful. The story about the detailed scenarios planning that went behind the BinLaden raid, that led to its success, is amazing.The San Francisco -- Brooklyn Perspective Three is an average rating: Four or five stars for the quality of the writing; one or two stars for the myopic vision on the topic. As others have pointed out, there is little here that is new if you have been making even a cursory attempt to keep up with the advances in decision-making theory over the past two decades. Some of the examples are excellent, but the author may be limiting himself to the Bay Area/ New York City enclaves in which he is most comfortable and that seems to be skewing his perspective. Insinuating that the pro-life position is limited to old men, for example, and ignoring both young and female abortion opponents because they don't fit within his viewfinder. In this the author seems to be a victim of his own thesis -- holding tightly to a single point of view rather than expanding his horizon.
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